Ongoing Research Projects
Why Political Violence Causes Social Instability
Abstract: If protesters can coordinate, the probability that an anti-government protest turns into a successful revolution is higher under repressive than under democratic regimes.
This is true for arbitrary social networks with heterogeneous agents.
The implications of the provided model are illustrated using data on protests, revolutions, and political terror worldwide between 1976 and 2014.
A working paper is available here.